Donald Trump takes center stage at
the United Nations next week when world leaders gather in New York, anxious to
hear the US president outline how he is reshaping Washington’s role in global
affairs.
TRUMP The nuclear crisis with North Korea, the
future of the Iran nuclear deal and Myanmar’s military crackdown against
Rohingya Muslims are expected to top the agenda at the world’s biggest
diplomatic gathering. Trump will deliver his first address to the annual
General Assembly high-level debate, which kicks off Tuesday with 129 heads of
state and government set to attend. French President Emmanuel Macron will also
make his debut, as will UN Secretary-General Antonio Guterres, now nine months
in the job. But all eyes will be on Trump, whose election last year was
described as a political earthquake by UN diplomats now struggling with unclear
US policies on global crises, from Syria to South Sudan. Washington’s friends
and foes have been grappling with the implications of Trump’s “America-First”
policy and his address will be closely-watched for signs of what’s in store.
While Trump is expected to play to a domestic audience by reasserting the
themes that have made him popular at home, diplomats are not ruling out some
signs of a shift, on climate change, for instance. The United States sparked
global outrage when it announced in June that it was pulling out of the Paris
climate agreement, but that process will take three years, allowing time for a
re-think.
“Expectations are low, but that may
play to Trump’s advantage” said Richard Gowan, a UN expert from the European
Council of Foreign Relations. “If he makes any friendly gestures, like hinting
that the US could actually stay in the Paris climate change agreement with a
few tweaks, he will be acclaimed as a statesman.” “Globally, public opinions of
the president are pretty low,” said Martin Edwards, a UN expert at Seton Hall
University. “I expect the tone to be off-putting rather than engaging.”
– Trump vs Macron ? – On Tuesday, the French
president will take the podium just a few speakers after Trump and deliver an
address that will champion multilateralism and renew his call of action on
climate change. Macron “can roll out an inspiring vision of global cooperation
to eclipse the US president,” said Gowan. “If Trump crashes and burns with a
really nasty speech, Macron will look particularly good.” During the myriad of
bilateral meetings, North Korea’s missile and nuclear tests will be in the
spotlight after Russia and China agreed to back a US push for tougher UN
sanctions against Pyongyang. The North Korean crisis has pushed the war in
Syria off the top of the global agenda, but there is no agreement among big
powers on the diplomatic steps needed to avoid war. North Korea’s Foreign
Minister Ri Yong-ho is set to defend his country’s nuclear drive during his
address on Friday. Ri is expected to meet with Guterres, who has offered to act
as mediator. On Syria, allies will press Trump to come up with a broader
strategy beyond leading the coalition that is fighting the Islamic State (IS)
group. There will be also be calls from Washington’s partners who signed the
Iran nuclear deal to salvage the agreement. The plight of Myanmar’s Rohingya
Muslims fleeing a military campaign in Rakhine state will also be discussed,
with the UN Security Council weighing a tougher response after calling for an
end to the violence.
– Reforming the UN – On Monday, Trump will
host a meeting of about 100 world leaders on reforming the United Nations at an
event attended by his influential UN ambassador Nikki Haley and Guterres. The
UN’s number one financial backer, the United States has threatened deep cuts to
UN funding and Haley was a driving force behind a $600-million-dollar cut to
the UN peacekeeping budget this year. At a news conference this week, the UN
chief said he was hoping for a “constructive” message from Trump about the
United Nations, the global body the US president once disparaged as a “club”
for “people to have a good time.” “I hope that if that is the message that will
be conveyed, that that message will be well received,”